A Formal Model of Shared Identity Appeals

31 March 2022, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed at the time of posting.

Abstract

Applications of social identity theory to elections often assume candidates, especially those from marginalized groups, rely on identity-based appeals to mobilize ingroup voters. Yet, in reality, race and gender minority candidates do not always make identity appeals, nor do race and gender minority voters always support candidates who share their identity. We reconcile this discrepancy by analyzing strategic interactions between candidates and voters in a formal model of election that incorporates instrumental and expressive identity motivations. Our result shows candidate quality differential plays a critical role in explaining the levels of identity appeals. If a candidate has a quality advantage that is not too low and not too high, it can be strategically advantageous to reduce identity appeals, as such reductions are effective in attracting outgroup voters. The proposed model accounts for existing explanations of identity politics, such as group size, ideological position, identity strength, and within-group heterogeneity.

Keywords

shared identity appeals
formal model
group identity
voting
campaign

Supplementary materials

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Online Appendix
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Online Appendix for "A Formal Model of Shared Identity Appeals"
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