Pre-Electoral Coalitions: Insights into the Boundaries of Political Parties

19 July 2022, Version 3
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed at the time of posting.

Abstract

Finnish elections use an open-list proportional representation system, and parties may form pre-electoral coalitions (PECs) in the form of joint lists. We document that PECs are more common between parties of equal size and similar ideology, and when elections are more disproportional or involve more parties. Using difference-in-differences and density discontinuity designs, we illustrate that voters punish coalescing parties and target personal votes strategically within the coalitions, and that PECs are formed with the particular purpose of influencing the distribution of power. They increase small parties' chances of acquiring leadership positions, lead to more dispersed seat distributions, and sometimes prevent absolute majorities. We discuss the implications of these findings for the boundaries of political parties.

Keywords

bargaining power
local elections
multi-party systems
open-list PR system
pre-electoral coalitions
strategic voting

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