“Man-Made” Natural Disaster: Impact of National Flood Detention Policy on Social Development in China

24 September 2024, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed at the time of posting.

Abstract

This paper develops the concept of man-made natural disaster risk, referring to the increase of potential risk exposed to natural disasters as a result of protection from natural disasters, even if these measures rarely directly cause disasters. Our findings indicate that the flood zone policy significantly reduces economic activity and population levels in the affected regions. This pattern is robust after accounting for alternative explanations and historical evidence that exploits flood disaster shocks on local social development prior to the establishment of national-level flood detention areas.

Keywords

Flood Zone Policy
Economic Growth
Population Size
Man-Made Natural Disaster Risk

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