Seeding Perceptions: Modern Influence Operations in Global Security

25 September 2025, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed at the time of posting.

Abstract

Influence operations have emerged as a decisive instrument of strategic competition, evolving from Cold War psychological warfare into complex, digitally enabled campaigns that exploit the vulnerabilities of modern information ecosystems. Drawing on forty-two international sources, this study integrates established analytical frameworks, including the "Firehose of Falsehood" and the Diamond Model for Influence Operations, with case studies from Russia, China, Iran, Israel, and transnational extremist organizations. The analysis demonstrates how state and non-state actors employ coordinated disinformation, information laundering, proxy networks, and artificial intelligence-driven content to manipulate perceptions, destabilize institutions, and shape geopolitical outcomes. Particular attention is given to the weaponization of social media, encrypted platforms, and automated avatars in electoral interference, recruitment, and strategic narrative projection. Findings underscore that influence operations now constitute a primary domain of global competition, requiring integrated intelligence, regulatory, and societal resilience measures to safeguard democratic systems and national security interests.

Keywords

Influence Operations
Information Warfare
Strategic Communication
Propaganda
Digital Propaganda
Hybrid Warfare
Counter-Disinformation Policy
Democratic Resilience
Social Media Manipulation
Narrative Control
Information Laundering

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