What Do I Get? Positive Externalities and Support for Public Investment

10 December 2025, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed at the time of posting.

Abstract

Infrastructural shortfalls and unequal access to basic services have turned public investment into a central site of political contestation in developing countries. Funding such policies requires higher taxation and the formation of coalitions centered on middle- and upper-income citizens. These groups often opt out of public services, which complicates redistributive efforts. When are middle- and upper-class citizens willing to fund goods that primarily benefit the poor? I argue that they may do so if they perceive positive externalities aligned with their ideological predispositions. Evidence from a vignette experiment on a housing program in Argentina shows that middle- and upper-class citizens aligned with right-wing ideologies are more likely to support and contribute to tax increases when the policy is framed as promoting productivity growth, whereas left-leaning citizens are less sensitive to the specific framing. These findings shed light on how such messages can shape support for public investment across ideological lines.

Keywords

public investment
taxation
externalities
ideology
survey experiment
cross-class coalitions

Supplementary materials

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This file provides detailed information about the case selection, fieldwork, survey sample, robustness checks and further discussion.
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