A Study of Political Economy in the Age of Austerity: How Incumbent Partisanship Affects Anti-Government Movements

29 January 2021, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed at the time of posting.


In this paper, I argue that austerity, when adopted by left-dominant governments, adds a “premium” to public grievances because, as the classic partisan theory posits (Hibbs 1977; Alesina 1987; Garrett and Lange 1989), citizens’ prior beliefs about policy consequences are asymmetrical such that they have fewer expectations of austerity when the left-wing parties are in power. Accordingly, I hypothesize that austerity led by the leftist governments results in a higher likelihood of anti-government movements than that led by the right-dominant government. I support this hypothesis by analyzing panel data covering up to 37 developed countries between 1973 and 2015.


left-wing parties
anti-government movements


Comments are not moderated before they are posted, but they can be removed by the site moderators if they are found to be in contravention of our Commenting Policy [opens in a new tab] - please read this policy before you post. Comments should be used for scholarly discussion of the content in question. You can find more information about how to use the commenting feature here [opens in a new tab] .
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy [opens in a new tab] and Terms of Service [opens in a new tab] apply.